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Archive for August, 2010


REDMAP

Welcome to this week’s edition of REDMAP Rundown, a synopsis of redistricting news brought to you by the RSLC’s REDistricting MAjority Project (REDMAP).  This weekly update gives you the latest on what those in the Beltway, and across the country, are saying about the impending reapportionment and redistricting process.

In this week’s REDMAP Rundown: Republicans riding the wave, Oregon’s positioning, Holding the pen in Oklahoma, Growth in Texas, Interference in Mississippi and Cali’s new ideas.

“President Obama won every state that touches the Great Lakes as he marched toward the presidency, while Democrats picked up 10 Republican-held House seats in the region. But in politics, timing is everything, and now the GOP looks poised to make new gains in key races that could give Republicans a long-term toehold in a region that has trended away from them for the last decade,” reports The Hotline.  “The often overlooked state legislative landscape is in as much turmoil as federal races are this year. And with state legislators set to take up decennial redistricting over the next two years, Republicans have chosen exactly the right time to surf the electoral wave. … This year, the wave could wash over Great Lakes states and push half a dozen chambers into the GOP column. Republicans need to pick up just three seats to wrest control of the Indiana House; they need only four to take over the lower chamber in Ohio; two seats are all it would take to win the Wisconsin Senate; and four seats are necessary to win back the Wisconsin House. … ‘If it touches a Great Lake, it’s a good state for Republicans this year,’ [REDMAP Executive Director Chris] Jankowski said.”

“Republicans can take control of the 30-member Oregon State Senate if they are able to net four seats in the midterm elections,” according to this week’s Townhall.com spotlight.  “Even if they don’t win the upper chamber, getting closer to parity with the Democrats in the senate would give the Republicans a strong negotiating position with a friendly Governor.  In the 60-member Oregon House of Representatives, a GOP takeover is seven seats away.  Because Democrats currently have a super-majority, with slightly more than three-fifths of the seats on their side of the aisle, they don’t even need the Republicans to show up to pass bills at will.  Republicans are well positioned to not only end the Democrat super-majority, but also to retake the majority that Oregon Democrats captured during the 2006 mid-term elections.”

“Members were named Thursday to a House of Representatives Committee assigned to work on redrawing [Oklahoma] House and federal legislative districts using data from the 2010 census.  The Legislature, controlled by Republicans for the first time during the redistricting process, will take on the task next year of coming up with three sets of districts — one for the congressional seats, another for the state House and a third for the state Senate. It must be done every 10 years, by law, after the official U.S. Census Bureau figures are available.”

KFOX-TV reports, “Politicians across Texas gathered in El Paso on Monday for a hearing about redrawing the district lines in the state, a move that could cost El Paso a seat in the Texas House of Representatives. The House Redistricting Committee listened to concerns, but Rep. Joe Pickett who is a member of the committee, said nothing will be decided until the official numbers come out in February 2011 or April 2011. … He said since the state is growing, Texas may gain three or four seats in the U.S. Congress.”

“Both [Mississippi] lead legislators in the effort to redraw the state’s congressional and legislative districts say they want to accomplish the feat without judicial interference.  For them to accomplish their goal, they must get redistricting plans approved by a majority of both chambers of the Mississippi Legislature.”

“California voters have become all too familiar with the ferociously partisan, once-a-decade drawing of political boundaries. Even so, the 2010 election holds something new. Two wildly different measures targeting redistricting are on the ballot and an independent commission is poised to craft legislative districts for the first time.”

The RSLC is the only national organization whose mission is to elect down ballot state-level Republican office-holders. To sign up for the REDMAP Rundown, or for more information or media inquiries, please contact Adam Temple at 571.480.4891.

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Last Updated on Tuesday, 17 August 2010 04:22

REDMAP

Welcome to this week’s edition of REDMAP Rundown, a synopsis of redistricting news brought to you by the RSLC’s REDistricting MAjority Project (REDMAP).  This weekly update gives you the latest on what those in the Beltway, and across the country, are saying about the impending reapportionment and redistricting process.

In this week’s REDMAP Rundown: Republicans riding the wave, Oregon’s positioning, Holding the pen in Oklahoma, Growth in Texas, Interference in Mississippi and Cali’s new ideas.

“President Obama won every state that touches the Great Lakes as he marched toward the presidency, while Democrats picked up 10 Republican-held House seats in the region. But in politics, timing is everything, and now the GOP looks poised to make new gains in key races that could give Republicans a long-term toehold in a region that has trended away from them for the last decade,” reports The Hotline.  “The often overlooked state legislative landscape is in as much turmoil as federal races are this year. And with state legislators set to take up decennial redistricting over the next two years, Republicans have chosen exactly the right time to surf the electoral wave. … This year, the wave could wash over Great Lakes states and push half a dozen chambers into the GOP column. Republicans need to pick up just three seats to wrest control of the Indiana House; they need only four to take over the lower chamber in Ohio; two seats are all it would take to win the Wisconsin Senate; and four seats are necessary to win back the Wisconsin House. … ‘If it touches a Great Lake, it’s a good state for Republicans this year,’ [REDMAP Executive Director Chris] Jankowski said.”

“Republicans can take control of the 30-member Oregon State Senate if they are able to net four seats in the midterm elections,” according to this week’s Townhall.com spotlight.  “Even if they don’t win the upper chamber, getting closer to parity with the Democrats in the senate would give the Republicans a strong negotiating position with a friendly Governor.  In the 60-member Oregon House of Representatives, a GOP takeover is seven seats away.  Because Democrats currently have a super-majority, with slightly more than three-fifths of the seats on their side of the aisle, they don’t even need the Republicans to show up to pass bills at will.  Republicans are well positioned to not only end the Democrat super-majority, but also to retake the majority that Oregon Democrats captured during the 2006 mid-term elections.”

“Members were named Thursday to a House of Representatives Committee assigned to work on redrawing [Oklahoma] House and federal legislative districts using data from the 2010 census.  The Legislature, controlled by Republicans for the first time during the redistricting process, will take on the task next year of coming up with three sets of districts — one for the congressional seats, another for the state House and a third for the state Senate. It must be done every 10 years, by law, after the official U.S. Census Bureau figures are available.”

KFOX-TV reports, “Politicians across Texas gathered in El Paso on Monday for a hearing about redrawing the district lines in the state, a move that could cost El Paso a seat in the Texas House of Representatives. The House Redistricting Committee listened to concerns, but Rep. Joe Pickett who is a member of the committee, said nothing will be decided until the official numbers come out in February 2011 or April 2011. … He said since the state is growing, Texas may gain three or four seats in the U.S. Congress.”

“Both [Mississippi] lead legislators in the effort to redraw the state’s congressional and legislative districts say they want to accomplish the feat without judicial interference.  For them to accomplish their goal, they must get redistricting plans approved by a majority of both chambers of the Mississippi Legislature.”

“California voters have become all too familiar with the ferociously partisan, once-a-decade drawing of political boundaries. Even so, the 2010 election holds something new. Two wildly different measures targeting redistricting are on the ballot and an independent commission is poised to craft legislative districts for the first time.”

The RSLC is the only national organization whose mission is to elect down ballot state-level Republican office-holders. To sign up for the REDMAP Rundown, or for more information or media inquiries, please contact Adam Temple at 571.480.4891.

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Last Updated on Tuesday, 17 August 2010 04:22

From AP

Oklahoma’s incoming state House speaker named a steering committee on Thursday that will oversee the redrawing of state and federal legislative boundaries after the 2010 U.S. Census Bureau data is released.

House Speaker-designate Kris Steele appointed five Republicans and three Democrats, each from a different region of the state.

“We want to ensure that this process is bipartisan and fair as we construct appropriate districts to reflect the changing population of our state,” said Steele, R-Shawnee. “They represent a good cross-section of the state and are politically and geographically diverse.”

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Last Updated on Friday, 13 August 2010 10:39

From Reid Wilson at National Journal

It’s no surprise that legislative campaigns feel the wind at their backs — or in their faces — more than federal ones, strategists on both sides say. After all, legislators run their campaigns with much less cash than higher-ticket races, rendering them unable to define themselves and therefore leaving their fates dependent on voters’ moods.

“There are fewer resources dedicated to these downballot races. The name I.D. is going to be lower, so they are more susceptible to the national wave,” said Chris Jankowski, a GOP strategist who heads REDMAP, the party’s top redistricting initiative.

This year, the wave could wash over Great Lakes states and push half a dozen chambers into the GOP column. Republicans need to pick up just three seats to wrest control of the Indiana House; they need only four to take over the lower chamber in Ohio; two seats are all it would take to win the Wisconsin Senate; and four seats are necessary to win back the Wisconsin House.

All this matters because, as both parties say, control of governor’s mansions and state legislatures means control of the pen that draws district lines. Republicans are expected to do well in governor’s races in Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois and Pennsylvania — all seats currently held by Democrats.

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Last Updated on Thursday, 12 August 2010 08:24

REDMAP

Welcome to this week’s edition of REDMAP Rundown, a synopsis of redistricting news brought to you by the RSLC’s REDistricting MAjority Project (REDMAP). This weekly update gives you the latest on what those in the Beltway, and across the country, are saying about the impending reapportionment and redistricting process.

In this week’s REDMAP Rundown: The real fight of 2010, a “double win” for Republicans, complete control, eyeing the Great Lakes, spotlighting Indiana, gaining the advantage in Pennsylvania, Koch keeps fighting in NY and Mississippi wants to hear it.

“Forget Congress,” writes Gannett’s Chuck Raasch. “The real political fight in 2010, one with consequences for the next five elections to follow, is the battle for state legislatures and governorships all across the country. Key 2010 battlegrounds are in Michigan, among other Great Lakes states; and in states with growing populations in the South and Southwest. ‘Political signs point to a Republican year in state legislative races this fall, and that could spell trouble for Democrats in Washington for years to come,’ said Tim Storey, an analyst with the nonpartisan National Conference of State Legislatures. Storey said 27 state houses or senate chambers could change control to the other party. … If Nov. 2 is a big Republican wave election, it could give the GOP sole redistricting authority in the drawing of more than 160 House districts — nearly six times more than their Democratic counterparts.’”

Susan Milligan reports in the Boston Globe, Adding to the potential bonanza for Republicans is that this is also a US census year, meaning congressional districts across the nation will be redrawn based on the 2010 population statistics. The better the performance by Republicans at the local level, the more influence they will have in reshaping the political boundaries for the following election. ‘It looks like a double win for the Republicans in the 2010 elections,’’ said Jeffrey M. Berry, a political science professor at Tufts University. ‘They’ll not only gain seats this time, but they’ll plant the seeds for gaining seats in 2012.’”

The Hill’s Shane D’Aprile writes, “Republicans could hold complete control over the redistricting process in several key states after the 2010 elections. If the party’s gubernatorial candidates were to emerge with wins in Texas, Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan — all states where Republicans either lead or are tied in recent polls — and the GOP holds or wins control of legislative chambers in those same states, Republicans could monopolize the post-2010 redraw. ‘If Republicans do really well on Election Day, they could swing a lot more seats that they would have control over,’ said analyst Kimball Brace, who heads Election Data Services, a bipartisan firm that specializes in the census and redistricting. ‘A shift of 10 to 15 [state legislative] chambers is enough to swing [the process] dramatically toward the Republicans.’”

“While attention once again is focused on the debilitating political and policy fights in Washington,” Jerry Seib writes in the Wall Street Journal, “the most important political story of 2010 may lie in a series of gubernatorial and state legislative races in the same Great Lakes region of the upper Midwest. … In their quest for these prizes, Republicans are bringing significant resources to the table. Ed Gillespie, a former national party chairman, this year is running the RSLC, an organization devoted to electing state officials. He says the committee has assembled 85,000 individual donors and will bring $18 million to state-level battles, including many in the upper Midwest.”

“Republicans currently control the Indiana Governor’s mansion and the state Senate (by a wide margin), and if they can capture a majority in the state House, the GOP can effectively reshape Hoosier State politics for the next decade. With the Democrats holding a narrow 52-48 lead in the House, the 2010 elections could be a game changer for the Indiana GOP. According to House Republican Leader Brian Bosma, ‘This is the year that we will predetermine state legislative and congressional leadership for the next decade through the maps.’”

“Pennsylvania is in a column of states where Republicans could have complete control over the redrawing of boundaries of congressional and state legislative districts to meet population shifts, according to The Hill.” The Daily Review reports, “Tom Corbett, the Republican gubernatorial candidate, holds a solid lead over Democratic candidate Dan Onorato, while Republicans have unbroken control of the state Senate and are within shot of taking away control of the state House from Democrats if things break their way. The current House breakdown is 104 Democrats to 98 Republicans with one vacancy. A GOP sweep would give the party a decided advantage in drawing districts that favor party candidates, strategists suggest.”

“Former New York City Mayor Ed Koch is in Rochester today to support his effort to convince the State Legislature to reform the process that establishes district boundaries. Koch is here to salute the ‘heros of reform’ — those candidates and incumbents who have signed his pledge, — and to call out those who haven’t.”

“A series of 12 open meetings will be held by Mississippi’s Standing Joint Legislative Committee on Reapportionment and Redistricting to gather citizen input before they begin the process of creating new legislative and congressional districts. Mississippians are asked to attend the meetings and voice their opinions before redistricting begins in early 2011. By that time, the state will have received federal census data to be used in the process of creating new districts based upon population shifts.”

The RSLC is the only national organization whose mission is to elect down ballot state-level Republican office-holders. To sign up for the REDMAP Rundown, or for more information or media inquiries, please contact Adam Temple at 571.480.4891.

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Last Updated on Tuesday, 10 August 2010 01:13